Saturday, October 10, 2015

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 5

Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

Remember last week when I said not to panic? Well that was for week 4. Now it’s week 5 and we aren’t feeling out our rosters anymore. We know what we have, for better or worse. Last week I said not to sit studs that started a little slow. That worked out for a few (Hill, Brees, Bradford) and not so well for others (CJ, Calvin, Lacy). I’m still not panicking as we move into week 5. There’s a fine line for when to buy or sell low on players who look like current busts. For me I’d rather buy these guys when their stock is this low, and hope they turn it around with a ton of time still left in the 2015 season. I know it’s frustrating to own some of these guys, let’s give them time, don’t go selling off your team because the season is looking bleak early. This is also the perfect time to pick up young guys who have a chance to bust out in the next few weeks that people may have given up on too early. If you have the bench space to stash guys like Nelson Agholor, DaVante Parker, Andre Williams, Tevin Coleman, Dorial Green-Beckham, Charles Johnson, Julius Thomas, or Brian Quick, I would go and grab them if you can. Some of these guys are going to pop, and will be a huge part of a late season championship run.

It wasn’t my best week in week 4, but you win some, you lose some. Here’s the starts and sits of week 5, let’s get a W.

Start ‘em if you got ‘em


Alex Smith vs CHI – Cam Newton is the only starting fantasy QB on bye, so if you have him like I do, Alex Smith is a good bet to have a nice game as a bye week fill-in. The Chiefs return home for the first since week 2 to play one of the worst D’s in the league. Smith is coming off a career high in passing yards, but he did not throw a TD. He won’t throw it as many time as he did last week, but 2 touchdowns this week are not out of the question vs the less than formidable Bears. Watch for Smith to sprinkle in some rushing yards as well.

Eli Manning vs SF – Eli is on a roll, throwing for at least 2 touchdowns in his last 3 starts. He’s yet to break the 300 yard mark this season, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he does that this week vs San Fran. Their D held Aaron Rogers in check last week at home in SF, but have been just abysmal on the road. Carson Palmer and Big Ben torched the Niners in weeks 2 and 3 for a total of 680 yards and 5 TD’s. I like Eli with San Francisco traveling once again.

Running Back

Danny Woodhead vs PIT – This Melvin Gordon thing just isn’t working yet. Danny Woodhead has been very productive and I think he can do the same in this spot on Monday night. Last week he totaled over 130 yards on 12 touches. San Diego clearly loves this swiss army back, and he should get good use vs a Pittsburgh defense that gave up good production to similar backs in Justin Forsett and Dion Lewis.

T.J. Yeldon @ TB – Coming off his first 100 yard game in the NFL, Yeldon has to feel good heading into week 5 where he faces one of the worst rush defenses in the league. With Tampa Bay giving up over 135 yards per game on the ground and Yeldon being the workhorse in Jacksonville (carried it 22 times last week), this rookie is a solid RB 2 in week 5.

Wide Receiver

John Brown @ DET – He’s been quiet this year, but is coming off his most productive game, having 10 targets for 7 catches and 75 yards. Detroit is in the lower half of the league vs the pass, but why do I love John Brown to boom this week? Besides playing the odds and knowing he’s due, I love his speed on the Detroit turf. John Brown is one of the fastest guys in the league and Arizona tried getting him the ball a few different way last week via screens and even had a rush for 13 yards.

Kamar Aiken vs BAL – Cleveland cannot stop anyone through the air and Aiken is now the number 1 receiver in Baltimore due to poor depth and the Steve Smith Sr. injury. He had 7 targets last week with Smith in and out of the game. Aiken should get at least that many looks this week as the full time number one. I’m not saying Aiken is the best receiver ever, but I like the volume he should be getting. I’m starting him as a solid number 3 WR this week.

Tight End

Travis Kelce vs CHI – Remember, I watch this Bears team every week. These are the least athletic linebackers in the league. Not one can stay with Kelce when he gets going. He’s been quiet since week 1, but watch him explode this week. He’s part of the reason I like Alex Smith so much this week. Kelce will score and he will most likely follow it up with a great celebration… enjoy.


Houston vs IND – If someone in your league gave up in them after last week’s debacle, go pick ‘em up like I did and start ‘em tonight vs the old and immobile Matt Hasselbeck. I saw what happened last week vs Atlanta, but you can do worse than having Watt, Clowney, and company as your fantasy defense. The production with sacks, turnovers, and touchdowns will always be there from them, even if they are giving up the points.

Kansas City vs CHI – After back-to-back bad weeks, these guys may be available in your league as well. Go pick them up if you are in need of a defense. They haven’t got to the quarterback the last few weeks, but this week vs the Bears, they should be ready to go. The crowd in KC will be rocking as the Chiefs face an early season must win. Plus, Cutler lives to give the ball to the other team.

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em


Andy Dalton vs SEA – Since Kam Chancellor returned in week 3, the Seahawks have yet to give up a touchdown. I know Dalton has been on fire, but look for him to cool off this week. If you’ve been relying on him lately, hopefully the QB you originally drafted has a good matchup this week. I’d let Dalton ride the pine in week 5. Seattle has only given up a total of 266 yards passing in the last 2 weeks. Sure, they were at home for both games and one was against Jimmy Clausen, but still… 266 yards… in 2 games.

Matthew Stafford vs ARI – How’s that saying go? If it ain’t broke don’t fi… ehh no, that doesn’t apply here. If it’s broke leave it in the corner and don’t touch it? Yea, something like that. Either way, I’m doubling down on the sitting of Stafford. I was correct last week and I’m sticking with it. He’s done nothing the last 2 weeks and now faces a mad Arizona team that’s coming off a tough divisional loss. That heartbreaking loss for Detroit vs Seattle on Monday can do one of two things to them. It can either motivate them or deflate them, and I’m going with the latter.

Running Back

                Joseph Randle vs NE – Struggling Dallas gets New England off 10 days of rest, yikes. I’m staying away from all things Dallas this week. Randle seems to be getting the biggest piece of the carries pie in Dallas, but got benched late last week for reaching the ball into the end zone. I don’t see Randle’s carries getting cut, but it’s a tough matchup vs New England, and I don’t think the Cowboys will be able to stick to their run game this week.

                Carlos Hyde @ NYG – He had more rushing yards in week 1 than he did in weeks 2, 3, and 4, combined. The Giants also lead the league in rush defense, giving up just under 70 yards per game. It’s going to be a tough go for Hyde as they go across the country to face the Giants in New York, who need a win to get over .500.

Wide Receiver

                Any Buffalo WR @ TEN – In terms of yards, the Titans are one of the best teams vs the pass. Buffalo has a tough draw here as they head to Tennessee after their bye week. The Titans are going to play the Bills very tough, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they win straight up. All of these guys seem to be banged up this week, and instead of looking for someone who may emerge, I’m staying away altogether. If you want someone from the Bills offense, look to grab tight end Charles Clay.

                Terrance Williams vs NE – See Joseph Randle as far as the whole Patriots after their bye week thing. The Pats have been scheming for 2 weeks to stop Dallas, and I’m guessing they will succeed in doing so. It took a late diving catch in the end zone by Williams on Sunday night to make his fantasy day relevant. He hasn’t been good since Dez went out, but especially since Romo left. Stay away from Williams, he’s not helping anyone right now.

Tight End

Heath Miller @ SD – I liked him last week and that was a total dud. Vick wasn’t seeing him and has just not been involved at all. He’s not usable at the moment, plus Bryant comes back this week from suspension. Vick has to feed Bryant and Brown, plus there’s Bell, and just not enough volume to go around for good ol’ Heath.