Friday, October 26, 2012

Studs, Duds and Stashes week 8







Atlanta at Philadelphia

Atlanta

STUD-Mike Turner-Before the bye week Philadelphia allowed Mikel Leshore almost 100 total yards. Turner is a similar back in style and size. You can expect similar numbers as Atlanta will try to control the clock in a hostile environment
DUD-Matt Ryan-Ryan was on fire before the bye week and he’s still a top flight quarterback but you’ll want to temper your expectation vs. a rested Philly defense that ranks 8th against fantasy quarterbacks. Andy Reid is undefeated coming off bye weeks in his career (13-0) so I expect the whole offense to struggle a bit.
STASH-Jaquizz Rodgers-Quiz has been a disappointment so far to owners who looked at him as a big sleeper going into the year. I still believe that he fits the offense better than the aging Turner and Atlanta will try to get him more involved as Turner wears down later in the season, which he has done over the past few years.

Philly

STUD- Lesean McCoy- Look for the Eagles to get their star running back more involved as the season progresses. Atlanta is giving up over 27 points a game to opposing RBs, so this is a good week to get him started
DUD-Deshawn Jackson-The Falcons rank 2nd against opposing wide receivers, so this is not the week to start the inconsistent Jackson.
STASH-Bryce Brown-In the past few weeks we’ve seen starters MJD and Demarco Murray lose significant time to injuries. If McCoy were the next stud to go down, the rookie would be the beneficiary, and he has flashed the ability to produce.

Carolina at Chicago

Carolina

STUD-Greg Olsen-With Peanut Tillman shadowing Steve Smith, Cam Newton will have to look elsewhere and Olsen is Cam’s second most reliable target. Chicago has allowed over 17 points a game to tight ends so Olsen should put up some decent numbers this week.
DUD-Steve Smith-The wily veteran had a resurgence in 2011 but ‘12 has not been so kind. Peanut Tillman held Calvin Johnson to three catches for 35 yards last week. Smith shouldn’t fare much better.
STASH-Brandon Lafell-Lafell scored his first TD last week since the opening game. The 3rd year receiver has a ton of talent and will need to get more involved, going forward, if the Panthers want to get their pass game going. This is not the week to start Lafell, however, stash him.

Chicago

STUD-Matt Forte-Carolina started the season off as the worst team in the league against running backs. They have played a lot better recently but Forte will gash the Panthers at home while Chicago nurses a lead.
DUD-Jay Cutler-Keep Smokin Jay on the bench as the Bears will likely not need to pass much against a team that they should handle easily at home.
STASH-Earl Bennett-I told you to stash Bennett a week ago and I’m going to echo that sentiment again. Bennett caught only three passes in his first game back from injury but he has rapport with Cutler and will be counted on until Alshon Jefferey returns from injury.




Indianapolis at Tennessee

Indy

STUD-Andrew Luck-Luck saved his fantasy day last week with two rushing touchdowns even though he failed to pass for one. I don’t expect the rookie phenom to be shut out through the air against a Titan defense that ranks 27th against quarterbacks.
DUD-Donnie Avery-Although I would feel comfortable starting any of these Colts against a porous Titans defense, Avery hasn’t scored since week one. There are better options this week in a deep receiver pool.
STASH-TY Hilton-The rookie speedster is 3rd on the team in targets and is averaging almost 17 yards a catch. Hilton should become more involved going forward on this rising offense.

Tennessee

STUD-Chris Johnson-Johnson was a huge disappointment to start the season after being drafted in the first round of most fantasy drafts. However, Johnson is coming off a 195 yard 2 TD performance in week seven. Ride the hot hand against an Indy D that’s giving up almost 27 points a game to opposing runners.
DUD-Jared Cook-Indy does one thing well and that is limiting tight ends, ranking 1st among teams with less than 7 points a game. Keep Cook on your bench if you have a better option.
STASH-Jake Locker- Locker is one of the up and coming young quarterbacks in the league and won the starting job in training camp. The second year gunslinger hasn’t played since being injured in week four but should be back and starting again soon. If he was dropped in your league, now is the time to pick him up and stash him.

Jacksonville at Green Bay

Jax
STUD-Rashard Jennings-The 3rd year running back out of Liberty totaled over 100 yards and a touchdown in relief of Maurice Jones-Drew in week 7. He gets the start this week and faces a Green Bay team who’s given up 69 points over the last three weeks to running backs. Feel comfortable rolling with Jennings if you were lucky enough to grab him off the waiver wire.
DUD-Blain Gabbert-Besides the running back, this whole team is a dud but Gabbert is a big reason for that. Even if you need quarterback help because of byes, there has to be better options out there.
STASH-Marcedes Lewis-Lewis is available in most leagues and for good reason; he has just 12 catches for 84 yards in the last five games. However, Lewis has been asked to block more because of injuries to the offensive line and could be more involved as they get healthier. His upside remains limited as long as Gabbert is playing under center however

GB

STUD-Randall Cobb-Cobb has 4 games or more with 7 catches or more and is coming off his first two TD game of the season. The electric second year player out of Kentucky has gained Rodger’s trust and is a huge part of the offense.
DUD-Jermichael Finley-Finley has disappointed game in and game out. Sit this guy until, if ever, he performs.
STASH-Johnny White-I told you to stash this guy last week and he was a healthy scratch for the game. I still believe that he could have a role in this high powered offense at some point and a smart fantasy owner stays ahead of the curve.



Miami at NYJ

Miami

STUD-Devon Bess-You’re already starting Reggie Bush but if you are in need of a wide receiver this week Bess is your guy. Bess is available in over half the leagues and should have a good week while Tannehill has to look away from Hartline, who will be blanketed by Antonio Cromartie.
DUD-Brian Hartline-Antonio Cromartie has shut down opposing wide receivers week in and week out and will be covering the electric Hartline. I love Hartline as a player, but he is no match for the more physical Cromartie.
STASH-Lamar Miller-I’m going to pound the table for Miller again this week. Miller has shown flashes when given the opportunity and is a Reggie Bush injury away from a heavy workload. Miami has one of the easiest (fantasy) playoff schedules of any team so Miller could really help if he is playing a role at that time.

NYJ

STUD-Jeremy Kerley-Here is receiver that is available in over 85% of leagues and can be a huge help for you in the bye week gauntlet. Kerley has scored 14 points or more in four out of seven weeks and faces a Miami defense that ranks 27th against the pass. Kerley can go straight from the waiver wire to your lineup this week.
DUD-Shonn Greene-Greene has surprised many by scoring over 20 points in fantasy for two weeks in a row but he should go back to your bench this week against a stout Miami run defense.
STASH-Tim Tebow-Tebow will get his shot at some point this season and he can provide a dual threat spark for your fantasy team when he does.

New England at St. Louis

 NE

STUD-Wes Welker-Randall Cobb exploded for eight catches and two touchdowns last week against these Rams. Welker plays a similar roll for the Patriots and should have a nice week for fantasy owners.
 DUD- Steven Ridley-The Rams are 3rd against fantasy running backs over the past two weeks, trailing only Miami and Houston over that period. I would sit all of the Patriot backs on the road this week against this defense.

STASH-Shane Vareen-The Patriots like to rotate their backs extensively but Vareen’s workload has increased quite a bit over the past few weeks. If Ridley were to get injured, Vareen will have quite a bit of value for owners who stash him now.

St. Louis

STUD-Brandon Gibson-The Patriots are horrible vs. the pass and Gibson is Bradford’s number one target. The Rams should be playing from behind which should mean a nice day for Gibson.
DUD-Steven Jackson-New England will try to get ahead early and try to take Jackson out of the game. Daryl Richardson has cut into Sax’s carries quite a bit too, so I wouldn’t expect much here.
STASH-Danny Amednola-I told you to stash him last week and now reports are surfacing that the ppr machine, Amendola, is practicing already. He could be back as early as week 11 so grab him if he’s available.



 San Diego at Cleveland

SD

STUD-Phillip Rivers-Rivers has been disappointing this year but this should be a great week for him. Cleveland ranks 30th against quarterbacks; giving up an average of over 25 points a game.
DUD-Robert Meacham-The Chargers thought Meachem was going to add a deep threat to their offense but the perennial underachiever doesn’t have more than 67 yards in any one game this year. Sit him.
STASH-Vincent Brown-Brown flashed in the preseason and is eligible to return to practice starting this week. He hasn’t returned yet, so keep an eye on him. If he returns soon he could be huge for teams in need.
Clev
STUD-Brandon Weeden-Weeden is available in a lot of leagues and is facing a Chargers defense that is giving up almost 23 points a week. If you need a quarterback this week, Weeden could be your guy.
DUD-Montario Hardesty-You may be tempted to start Hardesty because Trent Richardson is ailing with a rib injury. However, Hardesty has been limited in practice with a knee so stay away.
STASH-Travis Benjamin-Weeden throws a nice deep ball and Benjamin has speed to burn. The rookie might have some nice value as time goes by, especially in dynasty leagues.

Seattle at Detroit

Seattle

STUD-Sidney Rice-Detroit’s secondary is a mess and Rice leads the Seahawks in receptions, targets, and yards. Rice is a nice play this week.
DUD-Russell Wilson-Detroit’s aggressive defensive line will give the rookie fits at Ford Field. Look for better options.
STASH-Robert Turbin-Turbin is a big back in the mold of starter Marshawn Lynch. If the rookie gets the starting job because of injury to Lynch, he could put up similar numbers.

Detroit

STUD-Brandon Pettigrew-Seattle’s defense is great across the board but they are susceptible to tight ends, giving up 53 points over the past three weeks. Detroit will have to get their pass game going if they want to compete. Look for ‘Grew to be involved this week.
DUD-Mikel Leshore-The Seahawks are allowing only 17 points a game to running backs. Temper your expectations for Leshore.
STASH-Ryan Broyles-The rookie wide receiver from Oklahoma got involved in late week 7 after Nate Burleson broke his leg. With Burleson out for the season, the Lions will need to get the sure-handed Broyles much more involved.



 Washington at Pittsburg

Wash

STUD-Santana Moss-With leading receiver, Fred Davis, lost for the season Washington will need to get Moss involved. It’s not a great matchup, but somebody has to catch Robert Griffin’s passes and Moss has the experience and hands to do it.
DUD-Leonard Hankerson-Hankerson has flashed potential but he is far too inconsistent to count on right now. If he could string a couple of good games in a row together, he could be a decent start in deeper leagues.
STASH-Logan Paulson-Paulson caught four passes for 75 yards after Davis got hurt last week. Griffin relies heavily on his tight end and Paulson should benefit from that. Chris Cooley was signed this week to help replace Davis, but I feel like Paulson is the player to own here.

Pittsburg

STUD-Heath Miller-This is Miller’s second week in a row in this spot. If you drafted Miller late, or picked him up off waivers, you have been pleasantly surprised with his production. Washington has been horrible against the pass and Roethlisberger looks for Miller in the red zone.
DUD-Jon Dwyer-Dwyer will get the start this week with Mendenhall out and Redman likely limited. However, Washington has been good against the run so the Steelers will be passing early and often.
STASH-Baron Batch-Batch didn’t get as much work as I thought he would last week but I still think he’s worth a stash in deeper leagues as Pittsburg seems to be running the ball well, as of late.


 Oakland at Kansas City

Oak

STUD-Darren McFadden-Kansas City has given up almost 95 points to running backs over the last three weeks and McFadden has the talent to gash them. If you own Dmac, get him into your lineup this week.
DUD-Darrius Heyward-Bey-DHB had a good week last week, which was well overdue for fantasy owners. He will be matched up against Brandon Flowers this week which should mean bad news for his stat line.
STASH-Mike Goodson-DMC has never finished a season healthy so chances are he will be hurt at some point. Goodson was signed in the offseason to serve as McFadden’s primary backup. Goodson has the skill to be a good spot starter for your fantasy team if he gets his shot.

KC

STUD-Jamal Charles-Oakland ranks 22 against the run and Charles is the type of dynamic talent that can take advantage of a good matchup. Charles should be in for a huge week again this week.
DUD-Dwayne Bowe-Bowe has been disappointing this year with Matt Cassel throwing him the ball. Brady Quinn does not present an improvement as a passer so sit Bowe until further notice.
STASH-Peyton Hillis-Hillis is finally healthy after missing weeks with an ankle injury. Hillis is an intriguing talent, especially as a receiver out of the backfield. Brady Quinn looks to check down more than the average NFL quarterback so Hillis could produce well, especially in ppr leagues.



New York Giants at Dallas

NY

STUD-Martellus Bennett-Bennett is a revenge play vs. the team that gave up on him in the Cowboys. The Black Unicorn had a decent showing in week one, catching four catches for forty yards and a touchdown. Expect at least those numbers this week, now that Dallas has lost linebacker, Sean Lee, for the season.
DUD-Hakeem Nicks-Dallas may have the best pair of wide receivers in the league and they should limit the returning Nicks.
STASH-Andre Brown-Ahmad Bradshaw has had foot injuries his entire career and has yet to practice this week. Brown has shown that he can produce, when given the chance, and should be owned in all leagues.

Dallas

STUD-Miles Austin-Austin is finally healthy and produced in a big way last week. He is Tony Romo’s favorite target and should exploit New York’s secondary.
DUD-Felix Jones-Jones was the waiver wire darling last week and I told you he is injury prone. He was hurt on the second play of the game he did return) but he’s missing practice again this week. I wouldn’t be able to trust him enough to start him.
STASH-Phillip Tanner-Tanner is a no-nonsense runner with little burst but if Jones can’t go he has the talent and opportunity to produce if called upon.


New Orleans at Denver

NO
STUD-Lance Moore-Until Jimmy Graham is healthy, Moore will get increased targets. Moore is a ppr machine and is a great WR2 with upside this week.
DUD-Jimmy Graham-Graham has been dealing with a high ankle sprain and his status is in question for this week. Even if he plays he will likely be used as more of a decoy.
STASH-Chris Ivory-Ivory is a tough runner with talent that is buried on the Saints depth chart. There is a chance that he gets traded before the October 30th trade deadline and if he lands in the right spot (Arizona, NYJ) he could produce in a big way for a guy that’s probably available on your waiver wire.

Denver

STUD-Eric Decker-The whole passing offense should be in for a huge day against the league’s worst pass defense. Call it a gut feeling that decker has the best day of them all.
DUD-Jacob Tamme-Tamme was a popular sleeper tight end because of his prior relationship with Peyton manning. Tamme has disappointed, however, and loses looks (especially in the red zone) to Joel Dreesen
STASH-Ronnie Hillman-Hillman is a speedy rookie who has shown flashes in limited duty. He fits the offense better than starter Willis McGahee but has yet to pick up pass protection enough to earn playing time. If Hillman can earn the trust of coaches, he has major upside in a high powered offense.


 San Francisco at Arizona

SF

STUD-Frank Gore-Gore shocked everyone when he ran all over a stout Seattle defense in week 7.Arizona is beatable on the ground so this should be a good week to own Gore.
DUD-Vernon Davis-Davis was held without a target in week 7 and faces an Arizona defense that is the best in the league against tight ends. Keep him on your bench.
STASH-Kendall Hunter-Hunter is the primary backup to Frank Gore and runs a lot like him. Gore tends to wear down later in the season and has been injury prone in the past. Hunter could produce similar numbers if Gore were to go down.

Ariz

STUD-Larry Fitzgerald-San Francisco is the best defense in the league. They are at the top or near the top of every meaningful category. However, Fitzgerald is a future hall of famer and Arizona will have to lean on F=Larry Fitz if they want a shot at winning this game.
DUD-Larod Stephens-Howling-LSH had a good week last week and rewarded owners that stuck with him. San Fran’s defense won’t allow The Hyphen to total anywhere near 100 yards or score this week. If you have LSH... keep him on your bench.
STASH-Beanie Wells-I told you to pick him up last week and this week he has proclaimed himself ‘ready’... he’s not available to return for another month, but grab him now and he can help you down the home stretch.

By Paul Batts
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